Nordic Security Advisory

Nordic foresight and global awareness

Publications and insights

Published briefs

Report · Analytical Paper · 2025

The Vulnerability of High-Trust Societies

Europe’s security environment is increasingly shaped by sustained low-threshold pressure that exploits societal, informational, and institutional vulnerabilities rather than military force alone. Using Finland as a leading case, this analysis shows how declining institutional trust is emerging as a concrete security risk within high-trust Nordic systems built on voluntary compliance and coordination. Erosion in trust amplifies the impact of hybrid activity, persistent ambiguity, and low-cost asymmetric tactics, such as drone incursions near critical infrastructure, by slowing alignment, increasing coordination costs, and widening space for hostile narratives. The core finding is clear: in a contested security environment, institutional trust functions as a strategic enabler comparable to critical infrastructure, and its gradual erosion narrows margins for decisive action. Sustaining psychological resilience and legitimacy is therefore not a societal concern but a security imperative for Nordic states operating under continuous pressure.

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Brief · Draft sample

Unmanned aircraft systems and perimeter breaches

Reviewing selected UAS incidents, mapping how drones have been used to test or breach perimeters, observe security postures, and create new attack options against critical infrastructure and public spaces, and outlining implications for early warning and response.

Forthcoming analyses

Note · Forthcoming

Forthcoming analyses

Additional thematic papers and short analytical notes will be listed here once they are finalised for open release. Most NSA outputs are prepared for restricted partner audiences and are shared through secure channels.

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